Los promedios que vienen. Análisis


El cambio de temporada redibuja el mapa de los promedios, donde algunos equipos se alivian tras desechar una temporada mal, mientras que otros se preocupan por los pobres ciclos actuales.

Naturalmente habrá dos equipos que partirán de cero (Chacarita y Atlético Tucumán), y es muy difícil aventurar cual será su futuro. Por ahora, se sitúan en la cola de la fila.
.
.
Empeoran

Central pierde 12 puntos en relación al inicio del año pasado. Tiene dos flojas campañas que totalizan 91 unidades. Si quiere zafar de todo, necesitará una base de 60 puntos, algo que parece difícil por el nivel futbolístico y los inconvenientes institucionales.

Arsenal, si bien permanece algo lejano de la promoción, registra un marcado deterioro numérico y desciende varios escalones en la tabla. Se le va la estupenda campaña de Alfaro con 61 puntos y lamenta la pasada temporada donde Garnero nunca pudo encontrarle la vuelta al equipo. Con 52 puntos estaría tranquilo, sin zozobras

Independiente es el más notorio detrimento de los promedios. Se le fue el ciclo 2006/2007 de 57 puntos y registra recientemente uno de los peores años en la historia del club diablo. Estará, por ejemplo, 6 unidades por sobre su vecino Racing, y en caso de no congeniar una buena obra, el porvenir rojo se teñirá muy oscuro.

River también baja, pero aún lejos de los puestos de vanguardia. Es un caso semejante al de Independiente. Partirá a 26 puntos de la zona de promoción y sin peligros, pero convengamos que no es usual ver al millo sumergido en la mediocridad.

Argentinos obviamente también cae en la tabla producto de un año con sinsabores. El año pasado descuidando el Apertura (jugó la Sudamericana) y este Clausura con las complicaciones de Vivas. Todavía conserva los 61 puntos que lo clasificaron a las Copas, y por eso se mantiene con aire para todo el año.
.
.
Mejoran

Gimnasia
continuará en zona de promoción en el arranque, sin embargo engrosa notablemente su caudal. Se le irá una pésima performance de 40 unidades y se supone que con otros 55 puntos, no disputará ningún cotejo final por la permanencia.

Banfield no levantó cabeza en este primer semestre pero aún así escalará posiciones en la tabla del miedo. Se instala en un numeroso lote con oxígeno, aprovechando que se le va la paupérrima campaña de 39 puntos cuando desfilaron Leeb, Wensell, Patricio Hernández y Vitamina Sánchez como entrenadores.

Newells repite el caso del taladro. Los deprime este flojo clausura pero a la vez escapan de la zona de abajo. A la lepra se le van 35 unidades, y con 50 puntitos se ubicará lejísimos de la promoción.
.
.
Se mantienen

Racing, mejora 3 puntos con respecto al inicio del año pasado.
Godoy Cruz, ya que solo una temporada compone su promedio.

Primer lote

Rosario Central

Segundo lote

Gimnasia LP
Racing


Tercer lote

Arsenal
Independiente
Godoy Cruz
Argentinos
Banfield

 

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